Australia news LIVE: Outgoing RBA boss says interest rates could climb; Joe Biden to host PM in October at White House

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Australia news LIVE: Outgoing RBA boss says interest rates could climb; Joe Biden to host PM in October at White House

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Outgoing RBA boss says interest rates could climb

By Shane Wright

Outgoing Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe has signalled interest rates could climb further, but it will depend on how consumers respond to the sharp tightening of monetary policy over the past year.

Lowe, making his last appearance before the House of Representative’s economics committee before he is replaced by his deputy Michele Bullock next month, said there were encouraging signs that inflation was coming back towards the bank’s 2-3 per cent target.

The bank has lifted the official cash rate by 4 percentage points since May last year, the most aggressive increase in interest rates since the 1980s.

Inflation has eased over the past six months but remains elevated at 6 per cent.

Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe is making his last appearance before the House of Representative’s economics committee.

Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe is making his last appearance before the House of Representative’s economics committee.Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

While unemployment remains around 3.5 per cent, both the RBA and the federal Treasury are expecting economic growth to slow. The bank is forecasting the economy to grow by just 0.9 per cent this year.

Lowe admitted it was a “complicated” situation at present, especially if inflation did not fall as quickly as expected.

“It is possible that some further tightening of monetary policy will be required to ensure that inflation returns to target within a reasonable timeframe. Whether or not this is the case will depend upon the data and the (bank) board’s evolving assessment of the outlook and risks,” he said.

“It is encouraging that the recent data are consistent with inflation returning to target over the next couple of years.

“The data are also consistent with the Australian economy continuing to travel along that narrow path that I have spoken about for some time – that path is one that leads to inflation coming down within a reasonable timeframe and the unemployment rate remaining below the levels of the past 40 years.”

Lowe said there were two substantial risks to the economic outlook.

Inflation for services could remain elevated for longer, which may require higher interest rates.

The other risk was household spending which, though falling in real terms, was being held up by a strong jobs market, but this could change quickly especially if people start to feel the pinch of higher interest rates.

“The decline in real incomes and higher interest payments are squeezing the budgets of many households,” he said.

“While around one million borrowers have already transitioned from low fixed-rate loans to loans with higher interest rates, a similar number will make that transition over the next 18 months.”

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Political interest is the reason behind Vic’s group voting tickets: Antony Green

By Broede Carmody

In state news, longtime ABC election analyst Antony Green has suggested political interest is to blame for Victoria being the only state not to do away with group voting tickets.

Group voting tickets refer to a system where political parties control a voter’s preferences if they choose to vote above the line (i.e. write ‘1’ next to a party’s name and leave the rest of the upper house ballot paper blank).

NSW effectively abolished group voting tickets back in 2003 and the Senate removed group voting tickets in time for the 2016 federal election.

Longtime ABC election analyst Antony Green.

Longtime ABC election analyst Antony Green.

South Australia and Western Australia did away with group voting tickets in 2017 and 2021, respectively.

But Victoria has retained the system, which allows parties to trade preferences, resulting in upper house MPs being elected with just a fraction of the vote.

Animal Justice Party MP Georgie Purcell, for example, was the fourth MP elected in Victoria’s Northern Metropolitan Region at last year’s state election.

That was despite her party receiving just 1.56 per cent of upper house primary votes in northern Victoria.

Here’s the relevant exchange between Green and upper house Liberal MP Evan Mulholland during this morning’s electoral review committing hearing:

Q: Why do you think it’s taken so long for Victoria to acknowledge that [group voting tickets are] a problem and, hopefully, move on it?

A: My view is it’s been more of a political problem in Victoria. You have two parties in the Greens and the Labor Party who, in most regions, are competing for a seat. And group voting tickets allow them to talk to all the other parties in the hope of attracting preferences to their party as opposed to the other.
If you go back to the 2004 Senate election, there was clearly agreements sorted out between a lot of minor parties and the Labor Party at the time, which was an anti-Greens move to tip Greens out in several states. That was where it first came to public attention because Family First was elected in 2004 in Victoria [with just 2 per cent of first-preference votes] when the preference tickets didn’t work out correctly.
[So] I think some of this comes down to political interest.

As Rachel Eddie has reported, Premier Daniel Andrews is wary of an overhaul, despite the Victorian Labor Party giving its in-principle support for reform.

Funding to give farmers ‘confidence’ in drought resilience tech: PM

By Caroline Schelle

As I wrote earlier, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese announced funding to help farmers and regional communities build drought resilience during a trip to regional NSW.

Speaking at Tamworth this morning, Albanese said the $38 million in funding would support new and emerging agriculture practices to build drought resilience.

“This investment will build a long-term evidence base to accelerate the adoption of best practices across the agricultural sector,” the prime minister said.

“It will provide farmers with the confidence to invest in technologies and practices that have been proven across different landscapes and production conditions.”

That would include crop rotation, soil management, feed for cattle and infrastructure across Australia, the prime minister said.

Here is a breakdown of where the money will go:

  • Up to $6.23 million will go to Charles Sturt University to investigate the interdependence and whole-system effects of cropping and livestock components.
  • Another $3.94 million is headed for the Cooperative Research Centre for High-Performance Soils to evaluate drought reliance in farming systems and soils through trials across sites in WA, NSW and Victoria.
  • More than $4.3 million is for NQ Dry Tropic Limited to look at the effectiveness of virtual fencing, so graziers can implement drought resilient grazing systems over large areas.
  • Around $7.2 million is headed to the University of Melbourne to lead a consortium to look at farming system adaptions to improve drought resilient broadacre grains, with trials in Victoria and Tasmania.
  • Up to $8 million will go to Flinders University to lead a consortium on the climate resilience of cropping, livestock, and mixed farms assessed through trials across South Australia.
  • And finally, $7.99 million for Deakin University to investigate the diversity in pastures to build resilience, and support 365 days of feed production in southern temperate grazing enterprises.

      Australians create economic issue by pushing up home costs: Lowe

      By Shane Wright

      Further to RBA governor Philip Lowe’s concerns about housing, he has now warned Australians have created an economic and social problem by pushing up the cost of homes.

      Answering a question from independent MP Allegra Spender about the nation’s most pressing productivity issues, Lowe started by saying more investment was needed in human capital.

      Outgoing RBA governor Philip Lowe is speaking in Canberra.

      Outgoing RBA governor Philip Lowe is speaking in Canberra. Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

      He said the ability of Australians to deal with increasingly complex problems and a digital economy meant more investment in schools and universities was necessary.

      But he added that competition policy and changes to land zoning were needed.

      He said while people think about the cost of a home in terms of bricks and mortar, it was actually the land beneath a house that was expensive.

      “It’s the land. The land embedded in each dwelling is very expensive, perhaps the most expensive in the world,” he said.

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      Revenue slides as Murdoch’s News Corp eyes AI opportunities

      By Calum Jaspan

      Rupert Murdoch’s News Corporation has reported a drop in revenue, but sees opportunities ahead as it plans to take advantage of advances in generative AI.

      The US-listed media group - which owns News Corp Australia, Foxtel Group, mastheads in the US and UK, book publishers and real estate advertising assets - said global revenue for the year ended June 30 was $US9.9 billion ($15.1 billion), a 5 per cent decrease on the previous year.

      News Corp global chief executive Robert Thomson said the company was optimistic about the year ahead.

      News Corp global chief executive Robert Thomson said the company was optimistic about the year ahead.Credit: AP

      Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation in the news media segment fell by 28 per cent to $US156 million ($230 million), with its book publishing division, which includes HarperCollins, dove 45 per cent to $US167 million ($256 million), thanks to a fall in book sales.

      Revenues at News Corp Australia were down 15 per cent, compared to 7 per cent for News UK, which the company said was impacted by the absence of the additional week in the prior year and negative foreign currency fluctuations. News Corp Australia houses titles including The Australian, The Daily Telegraph, and the Herald Sun.

      More updates on this issue here.

      Lowe weighs in on soaring rents in Australia

      By Shane Wright

      Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe has weighed into the political fight over soaring rents, likening the idea to freeze rents to giving people more money to buy increasingly expensive houses.

      Lowe, giving evidence to the House of Representatives’ economics committee in Canberra on Friday, said ultimately the best way to deal with high rents is to boost housing supply.

      Rents are growing at almost 10 per cent, prompting calls from the Greens for a freeze on rents and then a cap on rent increases.

      National cabinet is due to meet next week, where issues around the rental market will dominate.

      Outgoing RBA boss Philip Lowe greets Chair of Standing Committee on Economics Dr Daniel Mulino.

      Outgoing RBA boss Philip Lowe greets Chair of Standing Committee on Economics Dr Daniel Mulino.Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

      Lowe said a rent freeze, while delivering short-term relief to renters, would actually act as a disincentive for the construction of more housing.

      He said when house prices were climbing sharply, there were demands to give potential home buyers more money to enable them to buy into the market.

      A rent freeze would act in a similar manner.

      “They’re short-term fixes that both, in my judgment, make the situation worse,” he said.

      “In most cases, rent controls reduce incentives to add to supply.”

      Lowe said the best way to deal with rent inflation is to bring on more supply, urging local and state governments to deregulate zoning and planning regulation.

      “The solution lies in increasing supply,” he said

      Baby Bunting bears brunt of household cost pressures

      By Emma Koehn

      Cost of living pressures are dampening spending by new parents on merchandise for their infants, according to national retailer Baby Bunting.

      The ASX-listed baby and children’s goods store has told investors that sales over the last six weeks are down by 9 per cent on a comparable store basis when compared with last year.

      Baby Bunting reported a 49.5 per cent drop in net profit to $9.9 million for the 2023 financial year.

      Acting chief executive Darin Hoekman said that the business had been able to grow market share during the year, but noted that rising living costs were having an impact on trading conditions.

      “While our category is less discretionary, our customers are not immune to cost-of-living pressures and we experienced sales decline towards the end of the year as consumer spending slowed,” he said.

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      Outgoing RBA boss says interest rates could climb

      By Shane Wright

      Outgoing Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe has signalled interest rates could climb further, but it will depend on how consumers respond to the sharp tightening of monetary policy over the past year.

      Lowe, making his last appearance before the House of Representative’s economics committee before he is replaced by his deputy Michele Bullock next month, said there were encouraging signs that inflation was coming back towards the bank’s 2-3 per cent target.

      The bank has lifted the official cash rate by 4 percentage points since May last year, the most aggressive increase in interest rates since the 1980s.

      Inflation has eased over the past six months but remains elevated at 6 per cent.

      Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe is making his last appearance before the House of Representative’s economics committee.

      Reserve Bank governor Philip Lowe is making his last appearance before the House of Representative’s economics committee.Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

      While unemployment remains around 3.5 per cent, both the RBA and the federal Treasury are expecting economic growth to slow. The bank is forecasting the economy to grow by just 0.9 per cent this year.

      Lowe admitted it was a “complicated” situation at present, especially if inflation did not fall as quickly as expected.

      “It is possible that some further tightening of monetary policy will be required to ensure that inflation returns to target within a reasonable timeframe. Whether or not this is the case will depend upon the data and the (bank) board’s evolving assessment of the outlook and risks,” he said.

      “It is encouraging that the recent data are consistent with inflation returning to target over the next couple of years.

      “The data are also consistent with the Australian economy continuing to travel along that narrow path that I have spoken about for some time – that path is one that leads to inflation coming down within a reasonable timeframe and the unemployment rate remaining below the levels of the past 40 years.”

      Lowe said there were two substantial risks to the economic outlook.

      Inflation for services could remain elevated for longer, which may require higher interest rates.

      The other risk was household spending which, though falling in real terms, was being held up by a strong jobs market, but this could change quickly especially if people start to feel the pinch of higher interest rates.

      “The decline in real incomes and higher interest payments are squeezing the budgets of many households,” he said.

      “While around one million borrowers have already transitioned from low fixed-rate loans to loans with higher interest rates, a similar number will make that transition over the next 18 months.”

      Two thousand more refugees to be settled in Australia each year

      By Paul Sakkal

      Two thousand more refugees will be settled in Australia each year after the Albanese government announced an increase in its annual humanitarian intake from 17,875 to 20,000.

      Immigration Minister Andrew Giles said the commitment ensured Australia played its part in responding to a global humanitarian crisis - with deadly conflicts in Europe, Africa and the Middle East - that has led to more than 2 million people requiring urgent resettlement.

      Minister for Immigration, Citizenship and Multicultural Affairs Andrew Giles in parliament.

      Minister for Immigration, Citizenship and Multicultural Affairs Andrew Giles in parliament. Credit: Alex Ellinghausen

      Giles reaffirmed Labor’s commitment to turning back illegal boat arrivals as a signal to people smugglers that Labor’s boost to the humanitarian intake was not a precursor to a loosening of border protection policies.

      “The Albanese government reaffirms its commitment to those in need with an increase in our Humanitarian Program annual intake. This responsibility extends beyond their arrival, by providing robust support to refugees to ensure they are well-equipped to settle into Australia and rebuild their lives with certainty,” Giles said in a statement.

      “With more people displaced worldwide than ever before, the Albanese Labor government is stepping up to play its part in the global resettlement effort in a responsible way.

      “Refugees have provided an invaluable contribution to our country - from Awer Mabil to Anh Do, Tan Le to Frank Lowy.”

      Republican congressman labels AUKUS ‘beating heart of free world’

      By Caroline Schelle

      Prime Minister Anthony Albanese is set to visit the US for a state visit, as the two countries are being urged to turbocharge the AUKUS pact.

      Earlier, Republican congressman Mike Gallagher spoke about the AUKUS pact which he has labelled the “beating heart of the free world”.

      The submarine deal will see Washington sell Canberra up to five nuclear submarines before Australia begins building a new class of boat with the UK.

      The congressman, who is Co-Chair of the Congressional AUKUS Working Group, said he wanted the pact to continue beyond the Biden administration.

      “My view is the US-Australia alliance, and perhaps the AUKUS more broadly is the beating heart of the free world,” he said on RN Breakfast this morning.

      The congressman, who is also Chair of the US House Select Committee, said the US had to make the pact a success.

      “This is a no-fail endeavour, it will have a dramatic impact on our ability to deter a future war,” he said of the pact.

      “It shouldn’t be an either-or choice between our submarine industrial base and fulfilling our commitment that we made under AUKUS.”

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      McManus believes price gouging needs to be ‘seriously examined’

      By Caroline Schelle

      Circling back to the ACTU secretary Sally McManus, who wants price gouging to be “seriously examined” after the union commissioned an inquiry into the issue.

      On ABC’s RN Breakfast this morning McManus said an inquiry was needed to examine unfair pricing practices and said chair Professor Allan Fels was the best person in the country to consider the issue.

      ACTU Secretary Sally McManus believes an inquiry is needed into price gouging in Australia.

      ACTU Secretary Sally McManus believes an inquiry is needed into price gouging in Australia. Credit: Dominic Lorrimer

      “If we just relied on the press releases that those companies did, that say there’s nothing to see here, this is why it needs to be seriously examined,” she said of price gouging.

      “It needs to be looked at as an opportunity for ordinary Australians to have their say about this. We’ve been inundated with submissions.”

      She said she was shocked by the number of submissions they got in just a few hours.

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